By Roberto Pena
Unfortunately for Europe, the biggest obstacle standing in the way of the greatest reversal in modern U.S.-European relations is a Republican Party on the decline. Lacking a coherent strategy for explaining and justifying the Bush Doctrine, the last option for the party in shambles is obstruction and taking on their favorite bĂȘte noir and the future face of U.S. diplomacy, Hillary Clinton. Fresh off the auto-bailout filibuster, the National Republican Committee will be holding "soul-searching" sessions this month to discuss platform issues and the future of the party. A successful block of a coordinated U.S. financial bailout with Europe, and an Obama fumble in his first foreign policy test, may just be what the GOP is looking for.
This could serve their ends in three ways: block Obama/Democratic Party political victories; reclaim their mantle as the party of fiscal austerity; and galvanize their base with the threat of America becoming "Europe." You'd expect nothing less from the party that brought you "freedom fries" and "cheese-eating-surrender-monkeys." Mitt Romney, already plotting for 2012, accidentally released his 2008 campaign strategy, which included the bumper sticker slogan "Hillary=France." No doubt a gem he plans to recycle for 2012.
On the domestic side, the old S-word ["socialist"] will rear its ugly head just as Republicans used it during the campaign, calling Obama the "redistributor-in-chief." How better to attach this label on the President-elect and his policies than by highlighting his relations with socialists in Europe? There is even a resolution currently pending at the GOP session that links President Bush and party leadership to socialism. What mud they'll have left to sling will be directed at Democrats with the old "tax-and-spend" label (which, admittedly, will be hard to dispute with multiple bailouts).
The party's ire will probably then turn across the Atlantic. The Paris riots four years ago, the Italian and Spanish student protests and the recent Greek riots are laying the groundwork to highlight the instability of the European welfare-state models. The inevitable protests in Europe over Israel's offensive in Gaza will also raise questions about where Obama stands on the Middle East. The schaudenfreude of the conservative base will ultimately be leveraged to offer opposition to the infallible Obama. Add the Blagojevich scandal and Obama golfing in Hawaii during the Gaza confrontation and the GOP has enough to run with to try to rally their troops.
It doesn't matter how distorted their worldview might be or how many failures resulted from GOP foreign policy. The GOP of tomorrow need only raise the possibility of "Europeanizing" the U.S. and nationalizing key industries. It may not be as politically divisive as gay marriage or abortion, but threatening American capitalism is all that the self-proclaimed "party of small business" has left. A word of caution for Europe to manage its expectations.
Roberto Pena is a graduate student in the Latin American Studies program at the Johns Hopkins University Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) Bologna Center in Italy.
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The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the Johns Hopkins University.



Comments (18)
All the GOP has to do is turn away from its religous side and focus more on its principles and i hope they do
January 6, 2009 5:32 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 17:32
Most of the class that Obama appeals to would not care and may even hope for socialism as Europe has, then they would not have to think for themselves. If war was to come to the world today or the near future (while those who think like Europe) the west would loose it. The US is not in a position to fight much of a war and Europe have not been able to do so for 20 to 30 years. Lets hope Russia and/or China don't start one or join in on the other side of the one we have now. Infact Europe may also join on the other side of the war if World President Obama tic them off.
January 6, 2009 4:11 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 16:11
Livadia, I am aware the Democrats have controlled the House of Representatives and have had nominal control of the Senate for the last two years. However, the Republican philosophy of "least government is best" has had control of the government agencies for all of Bush's 8 years. And to try to smear the Democrats as socialists is ignoring current events in which the Bush administration's 'compassionate conservatism' has just exposed a socialistic streak in the Republican party 700 billion dollars wide.
January 6, 2009 4:10 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 16:10
You gotta admire the power of the internet when a grad student's speculative rant is transmitted around the globe. This reminds me of the silly bull sessions we had when I studied in France 30 years ago.
January 6, 2009 4:05 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 16:05
I believe the author overlooks the fact that Republicans have lost any and all credibility when it comes to fiscal responsibility and when it comes to foreign policy most Americans are tired of being the Global Pariahs that resulted from the failed policies of the Bush administration and look forward to once again having our country take a leadership role on the world stage.
I personally hope that the 2006 and 2008 elections spelled an end to the divisive hate filled campaigning of the Republican party.
January 6, 2009 3:48 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:48
Thependulumswings, you do realize it has been the Democrats who have been in office for the last two years, right? People think that because its a Republican President, that's where the problem lies. No, it lies with the House and Senate, which is made up of Democrats. Oh, and it is true that many lazy @$$es voted for Obama because they are worthless creatures who refuse to work and want to mooch off the government by using welfare. My cousins are perfect examples. They think Obama the socialist (and yes, he is a socialist) will take money away from people like me who actually work and give it to them. Disgusting!
January 6, 2009 3:45 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:45
Do the people in the Republican party really think Americans are too stupid to see through all the retoric?
January 6, 2009 3:35 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:35
WhoKnows1 wrote:.."People voted for there savior Obama because he told them he was going to give tham a feee lunch."..
Of course you are free to think that and to write that but it doesn't make it so. I voted for Obama because his ideas made sense and his speeches were coherent. Most of us who voted for him think he was the best choice for getting our country out of the mess the Republicans have heaped upon us during the last 8 years.
January 6, 2009 3:35 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:35
Obstructionism is a real threat. I'm not sure Democrats would have the power to get GOP members to defect to their side when obstruction does take place. Or at least they would not be able to do it unless they compromise on good, comprehensive, strong legislation, and make concessions that turn it into weak, ineffective, or even detrimental legislation. It's happened with health care in the 90's and much legislation since. And now it could happen with energy policy, tax policy, economic policy...
But I think Democrats will be able to make gains in the senate in 2010 and prevent further obstructions by the GOP. I do not think the GOP would be able to sell this framing of the issues that is laid out in this article... Or at least they won't be able to sell it to those who haven't already bought it in this election year. It's like the Boy Who Cried Wolf. People have become skeptical of the GOP sales pitch after such an epic failure that was the last 8 years.
January 6, 2009 3:24 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:24
yard, bubba, I agree but I think the GOP is a non-existent party now for a decade or so. Unless 2012 turns out to be a Carter-Reagan situation where the Dems have made life in the US so miserable that anyone could win it as long as it isn't a Dem.
January 6, 2009 3:21 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:21
This utterly nonsensical piece of garbage by Roberto Pena serves as an example the sheer lack of basic intellect and common sense among America's journalists.
But then, when the most prestigious schools like Harvard "accept" and "graduate" brain dead morons like the semi-illiterate GW Bush, I guess it's just natural that bonehead writers and journalists populate America's media.
January 6, 2009 3:20 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:20
The Republican minority is now smaller but more extreme than it was last month, so I expect nothing but more obstruction. That plays right into Obama's hands. We are probably headed for Great Depression II regardless, and this gives Obama's surrogates all the ammo they need to keep the blame on the GOP.
When (not if) they smack away the hand he has extended in the spirit of bipartisanship, they'll be left holding the bag in 2010 when, once again, they'll be defending more seats than the Democrats.
Tragically, we once again will be the ones who suffer when our Federal government falls short because of Republican intransigence. Millions of people will die prematurely and billions will suffer needlessly if we can't turn our economy around pronto.
January 6, 2009 3:18 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:18
What a bunch of simplistic nonsense. The author obviously has no love for the GOP and is indulging in some semi-rational venting. Of course the GOP has made some mistakes, but they are not quite so demolished as this. I think the liberal media are over-playing their hand, or may have already done so. The Democrats have it all their way now, so they must produce positive results rather than simply criticize G.W. Bush and the Republicans. They will be proved fallible.
January 6, 2009 3:13 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:13
What a bunch of baloney. People voted for there savior Obama because he told them he was going to give tham a feee lunch. As far as I am concerned Europe can go to H**l. They have so many of their own problems to take care of. They have no right to say anything about the USA.
January 6, 2009 3:13 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:13
There really isn't THAT much difference between the dems and the Repukes. I supported O'Bama but in fact I know that he will only prevail if he runs with halfwits like Pelosi. Actually what the author may be thinking is that democracy in the US is going to collapse. That is not a prognostication. That is reporting the news (stale actually) and now the sleeping giant has to wake up to recognize that he slept too long. The "electorate" has discovered that it can vote itself largesse from the public treasury and that surely is the end of democracy.
January 6, 2009 3:11 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:11
Of course this assumes there is more GOP payoff in negative obstruction than solutions. (After previously trying this except with bad "solutions" - e.g. 'Iraq, a shinning, self-funding democracy in the Middle East'. No, they hate us and it cost like 20 X's what we were told for no WMD excuse.)
Seems a tactic turmed into a strategy. We'll see.
January 6, 2009 3:04 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:04
Rubbish. Haven't seen so much trash since I emptied the holiday plates into the garbage disposal.
The author naively assumes that the Obama, the Democrats, and the American People are idly going sit by and let the GOP play silly games.
That worked out real well for them in 2008.
If the GOP thinks it can now merely walk away from the auto fillibuster debacle, they're swimming in some deep juice. We just saw them get bashed out of the Northeast for their bible thumping, next we will watch them pulverized in the Mid-West at the hands of the UAW.
If this is the GOP plan, it is a blueprint for Democratic majority rule for some time to come.
January 6, 2009 3:00 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 15:00
The author is over-thinking this. Supporters of Barak Obama don't care about this or any issues. They voted for hope and change and as long as life isn't horrible for them in 4 years they'll vote for him again.
They really don't care about foreign policy, it was merely an anti-Bush talking point.
January 6, 2009 2:48 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on January 6, 2009 14:48