Paris, France - The war is making the world more dangerous because no protagonist will achieve any of its goals. Moreover, each might be tempted, at worst, to extend the war or at best to achieve a temporary peace agreement in order to prepare for future battles.
Israel wants to destroy Hezbollah but cannot do it by the sheer use of force. It could be done only through building a coalition with Sunni and Christian Arabs who resent the highjacking of Lebanon's future by Hezbollah. But by bombing the whole of Lebanon, Israel has jeopardized any chance of finding political allies in the area.
For Hezbollah, just to resist an Israeli offensive is already a victory and any political agreement will convince it that military might is the only way to force Israel to negotiate. Finally the two Hezbollah sponsors, Syria and Iran, see their position being strengthened by the present fighting. Any endeavor by the USA or Israel to get at them will by definition extend the crisis and fuse all the conflicts together, from Afghanistan to Lebanon, throughout Iraq and the Gulf.
Please e-mail PostGlobal if you'd like to receive an email notification when PostGlobal sends out a new question.