By Utku Cakirozer
In the aftermath of President Obama's visit to Turkey early this week, PostGlobal asked five Turkey experts from prominent American research and policy institutions for their reactions to President Obama's visit to Turkey. They reached broad consensus on two issues.
First, Obama made it clear to everyone where exactly Turkey stands in the eyes of the United States. He confirmed his administration's perception that Turkey belongs to West, and supported Turkey's European Union accession process. He did this not only symbolically (by including Turkey to his tour to Europe rather than to Middle East), but also with powerful statements before the Turkish parliament in Ankara. While showing great respect to Islam, the religion of the majority of Turkish society, he underlined the secular and democratic nature of the country, too.
Second, he made great strides toward remaking America's image within Turkish society. Between his personal charm, his promise never to make war against Islam, his firm support for Turkey's EU accession process and his promise to continue supporting Turkey's struggle against terror, he gave important signals that Turks immediately understood.
Some observers prefer a cautious stand about the future of the relationship, especially regarding the American Armenian community's expectation that the President will officially declare the killings of Armenians during the First World War as "genocide." These analysts warn that such a development could radically change that rosy forecast for Turkish-American relations.
Other analysts were less satisfied with the President's performance, highlighting his avoidance of certain human rights issues like freedom of expression and women's rights - the roots of which problems, they believe, emanate from the authoritarian attitudes of the AKP government.
Thoughts from the five experts, in their own words, are below. Please add your own impressions in the comment thread.
Zeyno Baran
Director, Center For Eurasian Policy, Hudson Institute
President Obama made America human again--by reaching out to the various communities in Turkey, holding a town hall meeting with Turkish youth and giving a masterful speech in the Turkish parliament. He personified an America no longer afraid to interact with others on an equal footing. He was already hugely popular and I believe many Turks are even more hopeful that he will indeed bring peace and prosperity to Turkey's difficult neighborhood.
It was extremely important for him to refer to Turkey as a secular democracy; this once and for all ended the debate about whether the U.S. under the Obama administration would continue to see Turkey as a Muslim country or once again see it as part of Europe.
He often referred to American history and experiences and his personal life story to make his point, which was much more effective than just lecturing another sovereign nation about the things they ought to be improving, including the treatment of minorities and dealing with past traumas. In fact, the two countries have very similar founding principles of uniting people under the common citizenship concept, not under an ethnic or religious identity, yet both have fallen short of the promise at times. Turkey gave women their rights much sooner than the United States, yet its concept of being "Turkish" somehow moved from being an ideology like being an "American" to an ethnic one, thereby causing ethnic strife, especially between the Kurds and Turks, as well as other non-Turkish communities. For its part, the United States has redeemed itself by electing a black president, yet the Native American communities are still waiting for their justice and dignity.
I believe it was also important that during his speech at the Parliament, President Obama talked at length about George Washington and how important a figure he is for the United States. In this spirit, he praised Turkey's founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk and his immense contribution to the creation of modern Turkey out of the ashes of a fallen empire. Although Americans sometimes are critical of Turks still holding Ataturk in such high regard and naming streets, schools, airports and many others after him as being stuck in the past, the capital of United States is named after President Washington, along with many other sites and even the delicious (Washington) apple! Turks and Americans may be closer than they think.
Soner Cagaptay
Director, Turkish Research Program, The Washington Institute For Near East Policy
There has been much confusion in the United States and Europe about Turkey's identity. Until September 11, Turkey was considered a NATO ally, a secular democracy and a member of the West. Suddenly, following September 11, this changed. Turkey became a Muslim ally, considered a model of Islamic democracy and a member of the Muslim world. Punditocracy began to describe Turkey as a "moderate Muslim state," and regional experts viewed Turkey as part of the Greater Middle East. A German Turk born and raised in Berlin told me that prior September 11, his friends referred to him as "the Turk." On September 12, he became "the Muslim." He added: "I had not changed in one night, but the world had."
With his Ankara address, Obama put the post-September 11 confusion about Turkey's identity to rest. The President started his speech with a rhetorical question: "I have been to...the NATO Summit in Strasbourg and Kehl, and the European Union Summit in Prague. Some people have asked me if I chose to continue my travels to Ankara and Istanbul to send a message. My answer is simple: Evet (Yes, in Turkish)." The president added that Turkey belongs in Europe and the West and that "Europe gains by the diversity of ethnicity, tradition and faith." For Obama, Turkey is a country in the West that happens to be Muslim, rather than a Muslim country in the Muslim world.
This is good news for Turkey's democracy, and even better news for the Western orientation of Turkish foreign policy. In his address, Obama made strong references to Turkey's secular democracy and the need for the country to move towards European Union (EU) accession. Importantly, Obama set Europe and its liberal democratic traditions as Washington's benchmark for evaluating domestic Turkish developments. On foreign policy, lately a civilizational view of world politics has formed in Ankara, relativizing good and bad according to religion and splitting the Turks from the West. In the latest incident, at the Davos meeting in January, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan chided Israel's president for "killing people" -- and then returned to Ankara to host the vice president of Sudan. To encounter this religion-based civilizational view, the President referred to Turkey as a "resolute ally and a responsible partner in transatlantic and European institutions." Obama understands Turkey's strategic importance ―Turkey borders Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Russia, and is a staging ground for operations in Afghanistan and beyond. With his speech, Obama set NATO as a Western gauge for cooperation with Turkey on key foreign policy issues.
Steven Cook
Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
President Obama found that on the range of important issues from Iraq and Iran to Middle East peace, Turkey's policies are generally consistent with those of the United States. The Turks have long sought a stable, federal Iraq. The flowering of relations between Ankara and Irbil, the seat of the Kurdish Regional Government, combined with considerable Turkish investment in northern Iraq mitigates a complicating factor in Washington's Iraq policy. The situation in Kirkuk and the persistence of Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) violence against Turkey remain flashpoints, but as the Turks and Iraqi Kurds develop closer ties, the magnitude of these problems diminishes, forestalling some of the most dire scenarios about Turkish military intervention that could unravel the progress that Iraq has made over the last eighteen months.
In the context of improved Turkish-Iraqi Kurdish relations, the Kurdish president of Iraq, Jalal Talabani, has called upon PKK terrorists to lay down their arms or leave Iraq. For the United States, Turkey is no longer the malevolent wildcard in the game of stabilizing Iraq. Once more, President Obama's clear declaration that the PKK is a terrorist organization that present a common threat to Turkey and the United States helped reassure Ankara that Washington will not back away from 2007 agreement supplying the Turkish military "actionable intelligence" to combat the terrorists. This is likely to garner President Obama significant amounts of good with both the Turkish government and people.
Svante Cornell
Research Director for the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, School of Advanced International Studies
Mr. Obama's visit to Turkey was an important step in rebuilding Turkish-American relations and to restoring America's position in the greater Black Sea region. In particular, Mr. Obama's speech to the Turkish parliament should be commended for the offer of cooperation and restoring the strategic relationship between the two countries. On the whole, Mr. Obama's speech did include important signals to Turkey, but failed to state a number of important elements.
On the positive side, Mr. Obama departed from the misguided notion, popular in parts of the Bush administration, to give importance to Turkey as a "Muslim democracy", a policy that often slipped into support for "moderate Islamic" movements such as the ruling AKP. To many Turks, however, that was taken as an insult: why, many Turks asked, was their country's democracy qualified with the "Muslim" adjective, denying the country's long history of secularism? Mr. Obama did not mix Turkey's political system and its cultural identity. He explicitly paid homage to Kemal Ataturk, the founder of the Turkish republic, and made sure to emphasize the word "secular" when referring to Turkey as a "strong, vibrant, secular democracy" This is a positive factor, as it may rein in some of the AKP's efforts to undermine secularism, which the party has been able to advance with little reaction from the West and to the anger of secular Turks. If the Obama administration continues to emphasize the twin, interrelated elements of secularism and democracy, that will bode well for the future. Moreover, Obama's clearly equated al-Qaeda's terrorism with the PKK's terrorism - showing appreciation for the sensitivity of the issue, which will be key to the bilateral relationship.
But Mr. Obama failed to indicate awareness of the authoritarian tendencies of the AKP government, and of the deteriorating conditions for women in the AKP's Turkey. While speaking in general terms on the need for further reform, he did not allude to the government's onslaught on freedom of expression in the country, exemplified by the Prime Minister's public bullying of oppositional media, lawsuits against journalists, the shady takeover by pro-government businesses of media outlets, or the half billion dollar fine slammed on the country's largest and moderately oppositional media group. Neither did he mention the importance of ensuring women's representation in the workforce and in politics, both of which have declined rapidly since the AKP came to power.
Mr. Obama also glossed over Turkey's role as an energy corridor, but U.S.-Turkish cooperation in the Caspian region and its accomplishments could have emphasized more explicitly. Mr. Obama also referred only in passing to Turkey's role on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Yet Mr. Obama's hope that Turkish-Armenian relations will be normalized is entirely dependent on progress in that conflict. However, Mr. Obama did not reiterate America's own active participation in efforts to resolve that conflict. Indeed, the problem was on clear display as Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliyev refused to travel to Turkey for a meeting of the Alliance of Civilizations, in spite of phone calls from Hillary Clinton. Azerbaijan is understandably concerned by American and AKP support for a normalization of Turkish-Armenian relations that would not go hand in hand with Armenian concessions on the Karabakh conflict.
Omer Taspinar
Director, Turkey Project, Brookings Institute
The symbolism of this visit would have been much different had Obama decided to come to Ankara after visiting Cairo, Amman, Beirut, Tel Aviv and Riyadh. But a visit to Turkey after visiting London, Strasbourg and Prague is a whole different affair. The message is crystal clear: Turkey belongs in Europe.
Equally clear is the fact that we are living in a world where the "clash of civilizations" has become a self-fulfilling prophecy. In this increasingly polarized global context between Islam and the West, Turkey is the most democratic, secular and pro-Western country in the Islamic world. It is the only Muslim member of NATO and the only Muslim country in accession negotiations with the European Union. To use the old cliché, Turkey is the bridge between the Middle East and the West. More importantly, it is an active facilitator of difficult relations between Israel and Syria and a country that wants to play a similar role between Washington and Tehran.
All these factors have significantly contributed to the symbolism of the visit. But make no mistake. An important part of President Obama's visit to Turkey was also about averting a major crisis in relations because of the Armenian genocide issue. Let's not forget that President Obama pledged several times during his electoral campaign to recognize the Armenian genocide. On April 24, in less than two weeks after his visit to Ankara, President Obama will face a critical decision. Will he refer to a "genocide" in his Armenian Remembrance Day letter? Most Turkish analysts seem to believe that he will not. I'm not so sure. When asked the question, President Obama replied by saying that he has not changed his mind on this issue. But he also pointed out that the focus should be on Turkish-Armenian reconciliation, and not on America's view of this issue.
Any presidential recognition of the Armenian genocide, or a Congressional resolution in favor of such recognition, will radically change Turkish-American relations. Ankara could retaliate in a number of ways. In its most extreme, but not necessarily most unrealistic form, scenarios include a decision by Ankara to limit the use of the Incirlik Air Base, which provides more than half of the logistic support for American troops in Iraq.
How can a crisis on this issue of genocide be averted? The answer is simple: Turkey needs to open its border with Armenia. The key development in the aftermath of President Obama's visit to Turkey may very well be Ankara's decision to do so. Such a development would provide the face-saving excuse Mr. Obama needs to refrain from honoring his campaign promise on April 24. If Turkey opens the border, the Armenian Remembrance Day letter may refer to positive developments on the ground between Armenia and Turkey. Yet, Ankara will drag its feet before opening the border and try to get America's support for Azerbaijan. It will be a very long two weeks until April 24th.
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Comments (15)
I'm delighted to see a more nuanced view emerging of the Muslim world than we have had for quite some time. Turkey is very different from Lebanon, is very different from... Obama's support for Turkey's accession to the EU let's Europe know that the US is aware of this unseemly & racist brouhaha. Finally, a courteous, educated internationalist in the White House!
April 12, 2009 3:57 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 12, 2009 15:57
The AKP has provided many reforms within Turkey- their police forces are modernized, their judiciary is more independent, and prosperity has expanded the middle class.
April 11, 2009 2:14 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 11, 2009 14:14
Obama Must Talk Turkey to the Turks
www.dailyexception.com
Despite traditional closeness, President Obama will face a Turkish public that is much less receptive than those of Europe. The Turks today increasingly identify with the rest of the Muslim World, and the clearest manifestation of this is to dislike America. We believe that the real cause of this drift away from the West, however, may not actually be America’s fault. but because of Europe’s dithering over letting Turkey into the EU. But hating George Bush and the War on Iraq has been so much easier for the Turks than dealing with the painful rejection from Europe. Given this fact, President Obama’s priorities in Turkey is restoring America’s prestige takes priority over any policy discussion. The President’s job to reach out and reestablish America’s standing with the Turkish people, and through them, with the Muslim World as a whole.
http://dailyexception.com/2009/04/05/obama-must-talk-turkey-to-the-turks/
April 10, 2009 10:58 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 22:58
http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2009/04/06/Obama%2520go%2520home%2520poster.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2009/04/obama_go_home_protestors_say.html&usg=__CFSU3ltN3TuSKp8TDtNoUWN62bo=&h=680&w=1024&sz=104&hl=en&start=3&tbnid=7tVIKFBnaD2ftM:&tbnh=100&tbnw=150&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dturkey%2Bobama%2Bgo%2Bhome%2Bprotestor%2Bphotos%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Den%26sa%3DG
Gee .... real stories and news isn't that hard to find.
April 10, 2009 10:49 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 22:49
Well-as the world watched Obama bow-scrape & in general do nothing except shoot off his mouth and, in reality, gain nothing. So far We've seen nothing-The USA is gradually receding and will soon be a 3rd world country. Obama lies and cheats. Has everyone forgotten his tax promise? Yet he pops a big one on tobacco-just because he can get away with that. Yet, that's as unconstitutional as 90% tax on bonus babies from AIG-which we don't hear about anymore. Of course-How many people in power have money invested with AIG? North Korea just fizzles away. China shows one face and averts the other. Still growing their military might and we still owe them too much money. Iran increases nuclear capability and in reality-like the rest of the world-laughs at Obama and the weakened US-which-under Obama-is slated to get weaker. Peace & non-nuclear is (for a long time)-a pipe dream-which reminds me-Obama admits to using drugs-I think that shows. Turkey? Well-Obama is stepping out of bounds on the EU thing-We certainly don't govern the EU and Obama was reminded of that by France. As more and more problems come up-they're pushed aside as new problems arise. What was a big problem 2 days ago is now a little one. Yet-none of these are showing much progress. I agree-many things take time-but- time is running out rapidly on some of these items. Hey-Obama-let's shoot more pollution into the air to reflect the sun's rays & cool things down so global warming doesn't melt the polar icecaps. Of course-then agriculture may suffer due to lack of proper sun & possibly/probably lack of rain. Then we can't feed people. Might as well pay the Somali pirates 2-3 million too-easier-of course-once you give in to blackmail---?? One must take each situation and deal with it quickly-especially the serious ones-that just isn't getting done-and now-Obama/Gates want to start disarming the USA. It really is too soon for that. Better think ahead-you still have some huge enemies that have not been brought in yet. You won't negotiate with them from weakness.
April 10, 2009 9:36 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 21:36
Your praise for Obama is very diturbing an ubdeserved. He did nothing but blame America first speeches while on his little trip, dishonor our militarv veterans in France and bow to a foriegn dignitary which no American President has ever done before.
America bows to no one or any country, thats protocol, and an unspoken rule. You can see what his brown nosing got him by reading foriegn newspapers and viewing foriegn news casts, he got nothing. You may praise him in all glory, but he is nobody, nothing, other than another American President that Europe and most other countries of the world will snub their noses in digust at when he speaks.
He carries no wieght or reputation worth the respect of foriegn leaders.
Don't look for miracles or support from foriegn countries, Obama is on his own.
April 10, 2009 6:43 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 18:43
"He confirmed his administration's perception that Turkey belongs to West, and supported Turkey's European Union accession process."
With all due respect-- while I among others was a major supporter of Obama in the USA, Barack Obama was a fool to place so much emphasis on Turkey's EU accession as one of the major issues. That is between Turkey and the EU, it is *not* the business of the United States. Obama squandered a lot of his goodwill by doing what appeared to be major hectoring of Europe on this.
First of all, the United States has about zero credibility to lecture anybody anymore, with our military disasters coupled with this US-led economic collapse. We don't call the shots anymore.
Second, it smacks of arrogance. It is Europe that would be faced with the consequences of any putative Turkish accession (positive or negative), not the United States. Trying to make this a centerpiece of "improving" US-Turkish relations, is essentially trying to fob off the actual costs to somebody else. Not cool, Obama.
Thirdly, it reeks of hypocrisy. Obama talks of opening borders to Turkish labor-- an idea which I myself have some respect for-- but last I checked, US borders remain firmly closed to Turkish workers. A good friend of mine, a well-educated Turk, has been trying for 5 years to gain a work permit for the USA, and has been frustrated and denied on each occasion.
I would suspect that this might be a major factor in stoking so much Turkish anger at the USA (close to 90% in the recent polls, higher than almost any other Muslim land)-- it's this perception of hypocrisy on the part of the USA, against well-educated Turks such as my friend, let alone those less skilled.
So, Mr. Obama, the ball's on your court, and this is what you must do: If you truly support Turkish accession, then this process begins at home. Stop being so hypocritical, and open US borders to Turkish labor first and foremost. And by that, I mean *all* Turkish labor-- skilled and unskilled. In practice, it won't be the "flood tide" that people fear, but at the very least, the labor barriers that have proven so frustrating would be broken down. And it would allow the USA to lead by example.
If Obama doesn't do this, then he's little more than a hypocrite. If he wants to push free flow of Turkish labor, then US borders must thereby open first.
April 10, 2009 4:58 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 16:58
@oengus1963,
"I never heard of a Washington apple? I am familiar with Washington State Apples." Fair enough -Americans did not name an apple after their founding father, they named the capital and a state after him. And carved his face on a mountain.
"The rural and Urban (American) people are not that different...However much of Turkey is second world isn’t it?" As far as I know there is only one world. If what you meant was that the income gap among parts of Turkey were huge -you are right. But remember almost 20% of Americans are below the poverty line. In US, the poor is out of sight (and out of mind) while, in Turkey, the poor is there for all to see (and care about). (PS: I would not call Evangelicals, a third of Americans, westernized in the context of this discussion).
April 10, 2009 12:02 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 12:02
A more honest view of Turkey might include the fact that when the civilian government begins to get too Muslim, the Army has stepped forward and kept this 'democracy' on the democratic path.
Obama has chosen to ingore the view of the Bush administration which seemed always to try to find reasons why we CAN'T work together and focused on just what Turkey (and other 'shunned' countries) bring to the table.
If Turkey choses to play a positive role in stabilizing the middle east, theirs would be a small price to pay for EU membership and could pay handsome dividends.
April 10, 2009 11:12 AM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 11:12
It is absurd to hear Zeyno Baran's comparison of Americans' regard towards George Washington with that of Turks' obsession and the near-worshipping of Kemal Ataturk. No American would be prosecuted and jailed for openly criticizing Washington. Which brings me to the issue of freedom of speech. Mr.Obama missed a golden opportunity to remind his Turkish friends that Americans cherish plurality of opinions and unrestricted freedom in expressing them. This, in turn, brings another issue: The Armenian Genocide.
Omar Taspinar, of Brookings Institute hits the mark when he ties Mr. Obama's visit to Turkey with the Armenian issue. It is clear from the President's speech that the US is not happy with Turkey closing the border with Armenia for so long, and he wants to see this border opened "very quickly, very soon".
There is however one glaring error in Mr. Taspinar's opinion, and with many Turkish commentators, who erroneously think that the official US recognition of the Armenian genocide is an end in itself, and that opening of the borders with Armenia will finally put an end to the Genocide issue. This thinking is very self-defeating. Aggressive Turkish policies towards Armenia, whether it comes in the form of threats of isolation or the use of the border as a lifeline in the hopes of forcing its will on Armenia are doomed to failure. The only way to deal with this issue is for Turkey to let the Armenian debate carry on without the threat of "insulting Turkishness" and an eventual recognition of the horrible past. True reconciliation and a lasting peace will follow.
One has to learn that in the past the Ottoman Empire went beyond such threats and carried out a policy of extermination of the Armenians. If that genocidal policy failed what makes Turkish leaders think that using the border as a tool for isolation will work.
April 10, 2009 11:10 AM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 11:10
Most folks in Turkey seem to love Obama. A friend from Istanbul called me in the U.S. shortly after he gave his speech in the parliament shouting "we're all in love with Obama!!!!"
April 10, 2009 9:47 AM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 10, 2009 09:47
America should be proud of their President. After 8 long years of Bush, we appreciate the Obama Presidency that much more. Finally, an intelligent person in the White House
April 9, 2009 5:09 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 9, 2009 17:09
I never heard of a Washington apple? I am familiar with Washington State Apples. The State of Washington does grow allot of apples.
America is the melting pot, you do not have the drastic differences in this country. The rural and Urban people are not that different, even the regional differences are not that extreme.
What planet are these experts from? Istanbul is western to some extent, perhaps westernized you could say. However much of Turkey is second world isn’t it?
The president did nothing more than review what he knew and more than likely recanted what the state department told him to say. I would not make such a big deal out of it, what is this all about? Something to write about? The media is just to big, and it does what encourages big controversies over nothing? The psychology of the aftermath and the use of these so called expert that live in a box.
April 9, 2009 5:09 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 9, 2009 17:09
Apart from the excellent timing immediately post-election, Obama's speech in Turkish Parliament was well constructed with finely crafted messages, superb flow and the intended objectives.
As one Turkish journalist called it "... provided a mirror for the nation's representatives to look at", which I found an interesting. While one could observe the caution and hesitation in the audience usually seen in patients dealing with a Rorschach inkblot test- can interpret and at ease with the contours of certain messages (PKK, EU accession etc), but not so with certain others (Kurdish minority rights, the need for a society's willingness and courage to confront its past and own up its history".
The brilliance of the delivery softened the unpleasant but hard messages for the Turkish politicians. We should make no mistake that some of what Obama has voiced from the Parliament, is enough to risk your life in Turkey. It was a stark example of the road Turkish Democracy and the politicians have ahead of them to create a society and culture of tolerance.
Some argue that Obama should have been more forth coming and confrontational about the ongoing human rights abuses and authoritarian tendencies of the AKP government. It is important, after 8 years of recklessness, Obama and US political leadership needs to avoid postures of lecturing and show willingness for collaborations based on bilateral respect for sovereignty.
I foresee and hope that this speech will start a long-lasting cultural self-examination in Turkish society.
April 9, 2009 4:47 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 9, 2009 16:47
Although the 5 commentators are erudite, might be more valuable to find out what folks living in Turkey think about this.
April 9, 2009 4:45 PM | Report Offensive Comment
Posted on April 9, 2009 16:45