« Previous Post | Next Post »

Guest Analyst

UNIFIL and the Lebanonization of Lebanon

Jerusalem, Israel - There is one and only one way to stop the next round of war on the Lebanese-Israeli border: To make the Army of Lebanon responsible for the security of all Lebanon and to instruct UNIFIL to give it a helping hand. [Plocker will be online throughout the day to respond to reader comments.]

Much effort and political skill was wasted on maneuvering around the questions of the scope and mandate of the new multinational United Nations force to be deployed in South Lebanon, until a murky agreement could be reached in the form of UN Security Council Resolution 1701.

Nothing in that decision, by itself an example of stylistic diplomacy, is clear-cut. Its exact wording, especially the phrases used to describe the role and the authority of the 15000-strong UNIFIL, are a brilliant exercise in fuzzy logic, flying high above the understanding of a human being.

In spite of being such a mess, the 1701 can still fulfill a positive role in promoting a de facto peace between Lebanon and Israel. How? Not by providing a detailed road map for the Babylon-like international force (who is afraid of the military might of Bangladesh?) but by not providing it.


Lebanon to the Lebanese

During the past generations, Southern Lebanon was only geographically part of the Republic of Lebanon. Politically and military it was, respectively, part of Palestine, of Israel, of Syria and lately of Iran. Foreign occupation was the rule, not the exception.

But now, for the first time since late 1970s, the Government of Lebanon is ready to bring freedom to the whole of its country and to extend its full military control beyond the Litani River up to the Blue Line, the UN-recognized border with Israel.

The war between Israel and Hezbollah ended in a tie, with one clear winner: Lebanese Nationalism. An unprecedented wave of patriotic feelings is sweeping Lebanon, uniting this multi-religion society into one Lebanese Nation. One should add: a democratic Lebanese Nation.

No war between Israel and Lebanon

The Lebanese Army may be weak, inexperienced and not ready for combat but it is the strongest manifestation of this newly discovered sovereignty of the Republic of Lebanon. Its solders receive a huge amount of spontaneous support and love from the residents of the South. Here come the Liberators, waiving the national flag of Lebanon: white, red and cedar-tree.

This is great. Great for Lebanon, great for people of South Lebanon, great for people of North Israel.

Israel has no quarrel with Lebanon and vice versa. The small and rather surrealistic conflict on Shebaa Farms (Israel claims they belong to Syria, Syria claims they belong to Lebanon), can be solved instantly, by direct negotiations or by the UN or by the International Court of Justice. No problem here, really.

The Blue Line border between those two countries can indeed be a very quiet and peaceful place, provided the national army of Lebanon will just do what it is supposed to do in an independent state: Establish its full military authority in the South of Lebanon as well as in the North.

Nobody expressed it better than the Government of Lebanon in its historic statement: "There will be no authority or weapons other than those of the State of Lebanon in the 20km area south of the Litani River".

Not a 'Peace Keeping Force'

Maybe Hezbollah will be disarmed by the Lebanese National Army or maybe it will dissolve and integrate itself into the Army. It is hard to predict, but those are internal problems of the Lebanese community. As nobody can solve them but the people of Lebanon themselves, I see no need for a strong and trigger-happy UNIFIL.

It may be rather small, compact and instructive; it will never be and shouldn't be a "Peace Keeping Force." The State of Israel is not threatening Lebanon and the State of Lebanon is not threatening Israel. If there is any real role for the new UNIFIL, one can summarize it in a simple sentence: To help, speed and guarantee the Lebanonization of South Lebanon.

To return the whole of Lebanon to the people of Lebanon - that is the true message of UN Security Council Resolution 1701. All the rest is superficial.


Sever Plocker


Sever Plocker is a leading Israel writer. His columns can be read regularly at www.ynetnews.com.

Please e-mail PostGlobal if you'd like to receive an email notification when PostGlobal sends out a new question.

Comments (13)

Ariel:

What moron said Israel was created by Stalin? Do you realize what a rabid Jew-hater Stalin was? He worshipped Hitler even to the point of refusing to prepare his armies (and having his top generals murdered because they told him they needed to prepare) for what everybody else in Russia knew was coming -- the Nazi invasion of Russia; and even once it happened he refused to believe it. He also shipped 3 million Jews to Hitler's death camps.

As to the real question here about Lebanon and Israel, I agree that the presence of Lebanese troops and by proxy the national government of Lebanon in southern Lebanon is a good achievement. This means a challenge to the Syrians and Iranians who control Hizbullah. But I also thinks it's premature and a bit naive to be saying this is a watershed moment, signaling the decline of Hizbullah control of the area. They could easily just chase the Lebanese army out, or decide to become part of (and co-opt) that army; and by that means BECOME the national army of Lebanon -- and who in that nation really would be politically or otherwise strong enough to prevent that from happening? Furthermore, is anyone really surprised that France and the EU are dithering about sending promised troops to Lebanon? No one should be. This is a group of nations that has all but shouted it's support for Muslim extremism from the highest of rooftops for the past decade -- and are CLEARLY and vehemently anti-Israel. They will never put themselves in a position that could be in any way construed as helpful to the Jewish nation; which is what the Muslims living in their countries will say immediately if they send any sort of troops there in significant numbers with the expres purpose of standing in opposition to Hizbullah (or supporting a peace process); which they and most other radical Muslims see as unacceptable on the basis that it is a tacit acceptance of Israel's (and Jewish people's) right to exist.

Anonymous:

In Southern Lebonan living 2 million shiitees. In Lebonan lives many different religious and ethnical groups. Such as Iraq. There was no any clashes between the local forces during Turkish rule at both counries.
All the fanatic sects are created by foreign forces. British and other allies against Turkish Empire created Wahabism. Americans created Al Quaida against Russians in Afghanistan. When you are creating monster and lost the control over him you know the result.
Dont forget Israel also created by Stalin and lost control over her.

Shalom Freedman:

It seems to me that Hizbollah will not start another round immediately. They have a lot of rehabilitation to do in their own communities in Lebanon.
I share Sever Plocker's wish that the Lebanese Army would take over the South, truly. I also share the skepticism of many who believe that Hizbollah will control the area , Lebanese Army or not.
Another dimension of the problem, however, disturbs me much more than 'Hizbollah'Hizbollah is a surrogate, a proxy for Iran. Iran's nuclear program is going ahead . It can make Hizbollah the deliverer of its message, as it has been many times in the past.
I wonder if Sever Plocker has any idea of whether Israel is treating the Iranian question seriously enough. I believe Ahmadinejad totally seriously, and must somehow be preempted. Is anyone in the Israeli political or military establishment taking steps to ' preempt 'him?

Sever Plocker:

No need to post UN troops in Israel because the Israeli Army is deployed alongside the borders of Israel. In Lebanon, the new UNIFIL is entering the military vacuum on the border with Israel, ending years of Hezbollah's occupation of South Lebanon and only preparing ground for the Lebanese Army

Mike:

Because Israel does not need any help disarming an Israeli political party that maintains a military wing and attacks a neighboring country without the Israeli government's approval or authority. There is no such entity in Israel. There is one, however, in Lebanon and the Lebanese government needs help controlling it. That's why UN troops need only be posted in Lebanon and not Israel.

Thom:

Why only post UN troops in Lebanon?

Mike:

In response to Thom's question: Israel got out of Lebanon 6 years ago. It only invaded Lebanon two months ago after Hezbollah first invaded Israel without authority from the Lebanese government, killing and kidnapping Israeli soldiers. Israel had every right to go into Lebanon, which had made no effort to disarm Hezbollah, to get its soldiers back and to prevent Hezbollah from invading Israel again.

Thom:

Please answer my question. I put it in the first sentence so no-one could claim they had missed it.

Sever Plocker:

Lebanon is not a terrorist state. On the contrary: it is a reborn democracy. Hezbollah tries to undermine its sovereignty but wouldn't dare to start a new civil war. Lebanese people have had their "Iraq" - in the 1970s - and they remember the lesson. They know the future of their country is in their hands. And in the hands of the Lebanese Army. The world can help but it cannot play the role of permanent housekeeper. It can't replace the responsibilities of the Lebanese government by installing a multinational force on its borders. Let the Lebanese defense Lebanon and by it defense their democracy.

Thom:

Why only post UN troops in Lebanon? Last I looked it was Israel who invaded, Israel who killed a thousand civilians, and Israel who committed war crimes. How about a UN Force in Israel to make sure that her naked aggression towards the countries that surround her (still have a piece of each) is toned down.
Hezbullah exists to prevent Israeli invasion. Look at its history; created during the 20 year Israeli occupation (after a UN resolution explicitly telling the I's to leave), and have committed no acts against civilians except in retaliation for Israeli acts of agression, whether it is causing sonic booms over the President's residence, kidnapping civilians, or commando raids deep into a sovereign nation's territory. You haven't heard about these? Not surprised.
Anyone who believes differently does not know the region, is not up on current events, or is deluding himself.

Anonymous:

Israel is a rogue nation

Warren Pryor:

As tragic as the Irael-Lebanon conflict is and the deployment of ineffectual U.N. to southern Lebanon, the real issue here is not being addressed.Terrorist and Rogue states that provide financing, training and weapons need too be pursused both in international courts and if need be, by military action.Freeze all funds these countries use to disrupt the lifes of ordinary people trying to get by in life. Prosecute all companies providing armament ordinances and explosives.Confinsicate all their assets and prosecute the company excutives.If the companies are state owned,freeze all international funds of those countries identified.If Military action is needed to comply, so be it.Each Rogue Nation needs to understand they are responsible for their actions that main and kill innocent people.Terrorism needs to be stopped at all costs.

Ryv:

Mr. Plocker,

I find you analysis too idealistic. With strong support in Lebanon and Arab countries, permanent influx of Iranian money and weapons, and seemingly unlimited Syrian backup, there is no chance that Hezbollah is going to disarm or dissolve into the Lebanese army. Even now its members in South Lebanon are not stripped of their weapons, they started restoring bunkers, etc. When the next order from Tehran comes, Hezbollah will roll out their Katyushas and shoot at Kiryat Shmona in no time. Do you really think that the Lebanese army is going to stop them especially if shiite population is about 40% with probably the same percentage among the army draftees? Surely, neither Bangladesh or Malaysian forces would move a finger, and therefore only a robust and well armed NATO force (ok, even within UNIFIL) is capable of making difference here. But definitely not the Lebanese army.

Post a comment

We encourage users to analyze, comment on and even challenge washingtonpost.com's articles, blogs, reviews and multimedia features.

User reviews and comments that include profanity or personal attacks or other inappropriate comments or material will be removed from the site. Additionally, entries that are unsigned or contain "signatures" by someone other than the actual author will be removed. Finally, we will take steps to block users who violate any of our posting standards, terms of use or privacy policies or any other policies governing this site. Please review the full rules governing commentaries and discussions.

PostGlobal is an interactive conversation on global issues moderated by Newsweek International Editor Fareed Zakaria and David Ignatius of The Washington Post. It is produced jointly by Newsweek and washingtonpost.com, as is On Faith, a conversation on religion. Please send your comments, questions and suggestions for PostGlobal to Lauren Keane, its editor and producer.