Moises Naim at PostGlobal

Moisés Naím

Washington, DC

He has written extensively on international economics, U.S. foreign policy, and globalization. His regular opinion columns appear in many internationally recognized publications and he is the author or editor of eight books including Illicit: How Smugglers, Traffickers and Copycats are Hijacking the Global Economy. Previously, Naím served as Venezuela's minister of trade and industry and as an executive director at the World Bank. Close.

Moisés Naím

Washington, DC

Moisés Naím is editor in chief of Foreign Policy magazine. more »

Main Page | Moisés Naím Archives | PostGlobal Archives


America's Learning Disability in Iraq

The United States government is suffering from a curious learning disability when it comes to Iraq. As it begins the painful process of disengaging from Iraq, the U.S. is at risk of repeating the mistakes it made going into the...

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JOAO DA ROCHA:

A CHINA NÃO É UM MAL, MAS UM BEM PARA A SOCIEDADE

CHINA BRECA AUMENTOS ABUSIVOS NO AÇO, COMO BRECOU INFLAÇÃO MUNDIAL ABUSIVA. E VEJA MAIS :

Será a primeira em fabricação de computadores portáteis e de televisão e a primeira produtora e consumidora de carvão e aço, mundialmente.

- Disputa o primeiro lugar da poluição mundial com os EUA, embora só tenha um terço da frota automotiva americana e esteja destacando voltosos recursos para a proteção do meio ambiente. Antes, os americanos respondiam por 1/3 da poluição mundial e a imprensa não criticava e se omitia completamente.

-- Nos Jogos Olímpicos de Pequim, o mundo
passará a ter uma verdadeira visão do País, que já é o segundo enderêço preferido para o turismo internacional.

A China não é problema para Brasil e também não é problema para o mundo:

- É o maior exportador mundial de aço e aumentou a sua produção, nos últimos três anos em mais de 40%;
- O aumento de sua produção foi p/evitar a escalada de aumentos internacionais abusivos ( mais de 170%) nos últimos quatro anos e essa iniciativa não beneficiou a China, isoladamente.

Já é o terceiro maior importador de produtos brasileiros, atrás somente dos EUA e da Argentina e, com certeza, será o primeiro em pouco tempo e nos últimos quatro anos deixaram um saldo positivo de mais de US$ 1,7 bilhões em nossa balança comercial.

- Como maior exportador de aço do mundo, a China irá forçar uma redução considerável nos prêços internacionais do produto.

- As reservas internacionais da china, superiores a USD 1,3 trilhões ( a maior do mundo), e com recursos proprios, já financiam mais de 10% do deficit americano;

- É o 2o. país em acesso à Internet;

- Produz 8 em cada 10 tratares do mundo, 7 em cada 10 relógios, uma em cada 2 máquinas fotográficas.

- Embora com somente um terço da área arável do Brasil, pode se tornar uma das primeiras produtoras agrícolas do mundo. O consumo de milho, no país, é superior a 140 milhões de toneladas ou seja, 7% acima de toda a produção nacional de grãos, embora com volume de chuvas anuais de 600 mm e Brasil c/ média de 1,300mm ( mais que o dobro).

- Tem desigualdades sociais gritantes como o Brasil e está corrigindo, inclusive combatendo a corrupção. Mas lá, eles penalizam os infratores e as riquezas ainda estão concentradas em mãos do Estado e não de uma privilegiada minoria capitalista. O mundo vai entender que a China é de importância fundamental para o equilíbrio entre o capitalismo selvagem e o socialismo democrático

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JOAO DA ROCHA:

REFLEXÕES SOBRE 2007 E PARA 2008


Como somos um país de dimensão continental, correspondendo a 15 vezes a área territorial da França, 34 vezes da Inglaterra, 23 vezes da Alemanha, 22 vezes do Japão ou 28 vezes da Itália, temos problemas que eles já superaram . Mas os países citados, estão no grupo das oito maiores economias do mundo e não apresentam nenhum desigualdade entre regiões ou no PIB per capita e que está acima de USA 30 mil. E esses países, mais os Estados Unidos, China, Rússia, Canadá, Índia, Espanha e também o Brasil, respondem por mais de 80% do PIB mundial. Isso prova que existe uma desigualdade muito gritante entre as 20 nações mais ricas e as 136 nações mais pobres.

Classificaram o nosso País, como a Quinta maior população mundial, com 22 habitantes por quilometro quadrado; o Sétimo maior PIB mundial ou o Sexto pelo RPC (paridade do poder de compra) e como a Sétima maior reserva internacional e a Sexta maior força de trabalho. E a nossa dívida externa , em relação ao PIB, não passa de 11%, enquanto ela representa para os Estados Unidos, 80%, para a Inglaterra, 335%, para a Alemanha, 151%, para a França, 185%, para a Itália, 113%, para a Suiça, 326%, para o Japão 37% e, para a Holanda, 27%. Teoricamente estamos em uma situação muito privilegiada em relação ao resto do mundo. Mas esqueceram de esclarecer, que todas essas riquezas que levaram o país ao seleto clube do G-20, estão praticamente localizadas nas regiões sul e sudeste, que concentram 55% da população brasileira, 70% do PIB e ocupa somente 18% de nossa área territorial total, mostrando, com clareza, que temos dois Brazis.

E as regiões norte, nordeste e centro oeste, ocupando 82% do território nacional, apresentam um PIB maior, tendo em vista a inclusão de Brasilia. Mesmo assim, na média, não passa de US$ 5.000 ou seja, 30% da renda per capita do sul e sudeste.

Diante de tantas informações positivas, acrescentamos ainda o aumento nos empregos formais, o crescimento de 11% nas receitas administradas do Tesouro Nacional, na capacidade de compra e de endividamento dos brasileiros, mesmo pagando os juros mais absurdos do mundo, a auto suficiência em petróleo e a redução da pobreza e das desigualdades regiões, em decorrencia dos programas sociais de Governo. E esses números estão fazendo com que o governo mantenha um volume desnecessário de reservas internacionais (pagando elevados encargos) e não amortize dívidas, pense em Fundo Soberano (um luxo de países que tem sobras de caixa e não sacrificam as prioridades internas) e , mais ainda, em oferecer linhas de créditos, através dos Bancos de Fomento ( BB, Caixa, BNDES e outros) para o financiamento e compra de empresas , no estrangeiro, mantendo, lá, a garantia de emprego, renda e consumo, Tudo isso está acontecendo, porque o governo deixou de fazer completos raios X do Brasil, de norte a sul e de leste a oeste.

Com toda essa euforia, as estatísticas e os raios X nos mostram um Brasil real, que tem 52% de eleitores semi-analfabetos e 8% totalmente analfabetos, 50% de todas as riquezas nacionais (PIB) concentradas em somente 1% ( hum por cento) da população , nível de desemprego acima de 9% e ainda com 20 milhões de pessoas em estado de pobreza quase absoluta. Portanto, não é a hora do Brasil financiar o deficit americano (com as reservas internacionais), a aquisição e instalação de empresa no exterior e de criar facilidades para o capital volátil, mantendo, uma Selic que agride as contas do Tesouro em mais de R$ 30 bilhões anualmente, considerando uma Taxa de 9% ao ano e ainda 100% acima da inflação (uma das maiores do mundo). Devemos encarar, ainda, que no orçamento do pobre, os ítens escola e alimentação pesam muito, porque faltam estabelecimentos de ensino gratuítos de qualidade e o plantio de produtos que possam manter o equilibrio entre a oferta e a procura.

A prioridade que o brasileiro espera e cobra, não está relacionada com a transferência de recursos gerados pelo seu suor, para a manutenção do desenvolvimento dos países ricos, mas sim, visando a solução para os inúmeros problemas internos. E não é concebível que o Brasil, com área arável de 5% do seu territorio ou de 200 milhões de hectares, produza , em grãos, pouco mais de 45% do que os americanos colhem somente em toneladas de milho e que corresponde ao porcentual de 50% da produção mundial. Em 2008, a produção prevista será de pouco mais de 135 milhões de toneladas ( utilizando 50 milhões de hectares), concentradas na soja ( 58 milhões), no milho (53 milhões). no arroz ( 11 milhões ) e no feijão (3,5 milhões). É muito pouco, no contexto de uma produção mundial de dois (2) bilhões de toneladas e aquí temos clima tropical, subtropical, com estações bem distintas, além do governo ainda gastar bilhões de reais com projetos de irrigação. Não há justificativa nenhuma para que o alimento e a escola e até o lazer, tenham um peso tão forte nos índices inflacionários. Falta ao governo elencar e materializar as verdadeiras prioridades do País e administrar, com rigor, os recursos disponibilizados pelo erário. E além dos problemas na educação e na produção de alimentos, falta ao Brasil recursos para a construção de usinas hidroelétricas e de eclusas, para um melhor aproveitamento do transporte fluvial; falta a construção de ferrovias de norte a sul, leste a oeste , para facilitar e baratear o escoamento da produção e o transporte de passageiros; falta infra estrutura de portos e aeroportos; falta a conservação e mais rodovias de qualidade; falta saneamento básico; falta habitação popular e faltam recursos,mas com bom e honesto gerenciamento, na área de saúde. Se faltam tantos recursos para agilizar o nosso desenvolvimento, proporcionando mais emprego, renda , consumo e melhor qualidade de vida para o brasil subdesenvolvido e desenvolvido, porque então proporcionar o conforto lá fora, quando aquí não produzimos alimentos suficientes para alimentar os 185 milhões de brasileiros e não temos escolas de qualidade e gratúitas para matricular os jovens de hoje, para não ser tornar os analfabetos de amanhã. Somos abençados por Deus para cuidar da melhoria das condições de vida de todos os brasileiros e não dos estrangeiros e AINDA FALTARAM MAIS DE R$ 50 BILHÕES PARA COMPLETAR O PAGAMENTO DOS JUROS SOBRE A DÍVIDA E DEVIDOS EM 2007 E QUE ESTÃO SENDO TRANSFERIDOS PARA A CONTA DO PRINCIPAL.

E os brasileiros cobram ainda do Governo, uma prestação de Contas bem Transparente e analítica e diária de todos os órgãos da administração pública direta e indireta (principalmente do BC e do BNDES), via Internet e não só a publicidade das receitas administradas. A contra partida é muito pequena em relação aos R$ 600 bilhões arrecadados em 2007. Caixa Preta com o dinheiro do Povo, não pode existir, em nome de qualquer sigilo, para acobertar irregularidades. O Governo deve contar com o povo e com os Internautas , para a fiscalização de suas Contas.

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JRLR:

Cayambe, Philo, CA-USA asks: "Have we no principles of our own?"

If one looks at dominant American thinking, I believe one will see that obviously, the answer is a resounding "We indeed have none!". That dominant current is called "pragmatism", i.e. the view according to which "is good what works".

It can be seen even in this conversation that many (most?) Americans are now against the US adventure in Iraq, not on the basis of any principle, but simply because "it has not worked, and after all those years, it still does not work!"

Were it, per impossibile, to work remarkably well within six months, I believe a large majority of Americans would again support that adventure.

That is what being unprincipled is all about. That is what Machiavelli was about.

Cayambe, Philo, CA-USA:

Mr. Naim,

I join the many in this thread who have complimented you on your article. When it comes to the mistakes made going into and executing this war and the occupation following I can and do agree with nearly everything you have said. Having said that, I’m not fond of the “learning disability” device you have used. I do not believe our politicians have done what they have done out of a shortage of brainpower but rather a shortage of the right experiences on their way up.

In addition, despite all the really quite excellent analysis, I do believe you have largely skipped what was our largest blunder by far, i.e. our decision to invade Iraq in the first place. I am pleased as punch the several folk made a point of that….Dave J., OD in his wonderfully pithy point 3., Anonymous, Chuck, and Max.

If we are to learn lessons for the future, please, let the first lesson be when it is we should go to war and when we should not. Let us be honest about this question. Let us remember that 70% of the population in 2002 supported this war and 30+% still do. The Democrats were split (roughly down the middle) and still remain that way. Mrs. Clinton still supports the decision to go war, so does Lieberman, so does the Majority leader in the House. They focus their criticism on the incompetent execution of the war, not the decision to go to war, which they still claim to agree with. I’m sorry folks, foisting this stupid war off on the Bush crowd alone is plainly dishonest. In the fall of 2002-winter of 2003 Mr. Bush was not wanting for willing support and company, to include Mr. Ignatius and a host of fellow columnists, along with a dominant share of the newspapers. Nor does the lousy intelligence get anyone off of the hook. I submit that if all of the intelligence were actually true, there would still not be a valid case for war. We also knew, or should have known, that the intelligence was a bunch of bull. Seriously, if we didn’t even know one single place to send Mr. Blix to actually find something in Iraq, how could anyone possibly believe we had the vaguest idea what there was and was not in Iraq? Oh yes, there is the matter of Iraq as an imminent threat to us. It’s a joke for the annual White House Correspondents dinner, right? What is it we spend on our military? More than the NEXT 15 NATIONS COMBINED (or 35 depending on your choice of numbers)? Yup, Iraq was one hell of a threat wasn’t it? Please, give me a break!!

We need a serious debate about the role we believe we should play in this world of ours. The truth is that no nation in this world at this point seriously threatens our national security; we threaten some of them. Unless we are attacked, as we were on 9/11, we simply do not have any kind of “preemptive” self-defense case to make. I take my guidance from that quintessentially American document, “The Declaration of Independence”. It succinctly lays out a peoples inalienable right to determine the purposes, structure, and powers of those who will govern them, and to change those arrangements as they see fit if they are unsatisfactory. The only regime we are empowered to change is our own, and in that we are exclusively empowered. Where do we, as Americans, derive this notion that we are blessed with the authority to change any other nations regime if it does not suit us? This is not a partisan thing; in her day Madeline Albright could be a real hawk. I might also point out that Mr. Jefferson did not say that a people had to choose a democracy either.

It has been noted by a couple of people that this Iraq invasion was illegal under the UN Charter…an assessment I agree with, but which leaves me with, So What? That we should have to look to the UN Charter for guidance on when to make war is offensive. Have we no principles of our own? We really had better get some because if not, there is no force in this world which can contain us, least of all the ineffectual UN. A couple of people have asserted the pragmatic principle of “Might makes Right”. Is this what we have come to? Does it sit so well with us, this “Christian” nation?

It is too late for a debate on this question to do any good in Iraq, but there are more potential cases pending in the queue … Iran, Darfur, Somalia (again), Afghanistan, and maybe Pakistan will get dicier.


Of course none of this has answered David’s question, “What should the US do now?” … or “What DO we know???”

I would agree with the Baker-Hamilton prescription also, insofar as it specifies diplomatic and political measures. Admitting what we DON’T KNOW about the Middle East, I’ve no illusions that we can actually shape the outcome or should try. This is an Iraqi responsibility and theirs alone. The best we might do is make sure that the neighbors do not insert their military forces into a vacuum we might leave behind and keep any civil strife from turning into a full scale genocide.

Aside from formulating a somewhat humbler role for America to play in this world, we need to come to grips with the actual nature of our military capabilities. Our military is not designed, by training, equipment, or organization to engage in extended combat, least of all “counterinsurgency”. It is designed to destroy opposing military forces and the infrastructure supporting them in very short order. No other nation has an equivalent capability, not even close. Occupation is not our game…. destruction is. This is one thing we DO know.

Consequently, I would adopt Murtha’s original prescription, which was to “re-deploy” our military forces out of “occupation” mode to nearby places out of daily contact with the Iraqi population. We will continue to need substantive combat forces available in the area for force protection of our training and reconstruction assets and to destroy any alien combat forces which might seriously threaten the stability of Iraq itself. On the face of it that might entail 3 large temporary bases, Anbar, Kurdistan, and somewhere in the southern third of the country. This is not for the purpose of hearts and minds. This is for the purpose of destroying opposing concentrations of military, terrorist, or militia forces as are advisable or required.

We must in fact reduce the military forces we presently have in Iraq. We cannot sustain this level of force indefinitely. Our Army with Marines is simply not big enough and the longer we delay the more “hollowed out” it becomes. It is the price of misuse and it informs the need for a humbler role for America to play in the world. We are not equipped militarily to OCCUPY nations. We can destroy any nation many times over, but occupy it? What a silly idea that is.

Baker, Hamilton, Scowcroft, Odom, Z Big are just about the last of the fellows whose experience span runs from the Second World War through the Cold War. It is too bad. The current crop of foreign policy operators, with rare exceptions, do not seem to have learned much from their more limited experiences.

JRLR:

In the Middle-East, what do we know? What should the US do now ? Any suggestion?

As Talleyrand was telling Napoleon: “It is a marvel, Sire, everything you can accomplish with bayonets. Alas, not even you can sit on them."

I. OUR “solutions” that are NON-SOLUTIONS:


1. OUR military victory: “we surge, pacify and win” (i.e. “search, massacre, destroy, ruin”);

2. OUR dictator: military/parliamentary coup, we put in place a “son of Saddam”;

3. OUR rule (OUR “Iraqi”…): state puppets, Bremer constitution, military security, etc.;

4. OUR partition: Shia, Sunni, Khurd…;

5. OUR military occupation, for as long as it takes on the road to ultimate victory

6. OUR reframing Iraq: transform the conflict into a regional one, war with Iran.

Any and all of the above are the temptation to try and sit on bayonets.


II. THEIR Iraqi solution:


1. Dump Machiavelli;

2. Talk;

3. Arrange for an open-ended truce to hold UN (not US!!!) Talks on the Future of Iraq;

4. Iraq: local, “provincial”, national conferences on the future of Iraq;

5. NATIONAL Accords on the Future of Iraq;

6. Middle-East: regional Conference on the Future of Iraq;

7. REGIONAL Accords on the Future of Iraq;

8. Geneva International Conference on the Future of Iraq;

9. INTERNATIONAL Accords on the Future of Iraq (provisions on reconstruction by US);

10. “US go home”;

11. US and “willing coalition” pay for the total reconstruction of Iraq (Internat. Accords).


III. Remaining issues, “what to do with the bayonets?”


1. What do we do with NATO?

2. What do we do with the military-industrial complex?


IV. Final question: WHY WON’T ANY OF II 1-11 HAPPEN?

D. Hodara :

Once again, the question is what to do?
To try to find a solution, the administration must:
1 - admit that it has made all the errors which have been described in numerous analysis included in M. Naim's.
2 - realize that Iraq is not the only problem, Afghanistan is still in danger of being reconquered by the Talibans and the warlords. The present central government is totally powerless and ineffective and would not exist without the help of the coalition forces. To ignore that, since the Talibans were ousted, the corruption is very active, and that there has been an enormour increase in the culture of heroin crops, which provide almost 90% of all the drugs being exported to the US and other countries.
3 - that the hundreds of billions of dollars spent on wars that cannot be WON, have gone down the drain, when the needs for medical help, education, katrina etc. are unavailable.
4 - the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan are not wars. A war is fought between regular armies, whilst the above conflicts are between a regular army or armies against insurgents which cannot be considered as a regular army. They never face their enemies and hide or decide to be suicide bombers. In Iraq, particularly, most of the coalition dead are the victims of suicide bombers and roadside bombs and not victims of a war. The US have a vivid example with Vietnam.
5 - that for over four years the situation in Iraq has practically not improved - it may even have worsened - and the Iraqui civilian casualties continue to rise. Consequently, it would be wise to ask the 'democratically elected' Iraqui government to assume its responsibilities and address the problems facing them with all the help possible from the coalition, whose forces should be evacuated under a plan agreed with them.
6 - the Iraqui people, as a majority, hate the foreign forces, particularly the US, and wish they leave the country as soon as possible. In such a case, the Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds, will be forced to find a solution to the present situation - which cannot be worse than the one existing now.

To pretend that the situation will worsen with an evacuation of the coalition forces is a very lame excuse, and the administration's 'new approach' in sending more soldiers on the ground, is like trying to heal a wound on a wooden leg.

The RIDDLEs of SATANIC Koronic Versus exposed! In plain Americano:

Hello Friends in Cyber World & in The Real World:


(((( AMERICA HOLDS -- ALADIN'S LAMP ))))


You said:

"That's what Islamofascists do not understand."

Note: keep in mind, how in Germany The “Magnificent 19” a/k/a/ WTC Bomber(s) Mohamed ATTA, et al., spied, conspired, & went through with their un Holy Alliance with backing & blessings from the “R.E.L.I.G.I.O.S. M.A.F.I.O.S.O'S” that was HATCHED via their Under-Ground Black market Economy's with Capitalist Mafia types in World wide presence of all types of business Fronts. And not just on the Internet either.!

These Islamic thinking and willing to kill & die "..F.a.s.c.i.s.t.(s)." are raised from diapers how to think JIHAD & do, in the course of you submission to ALLAH/Mohammad via KORAN un-Holy Stories lores & Epochs of their ancient times [Before Electro-Magnetism of the Real G-d around us and not Biblical so called, and not worth dieing for such un G-dly story's), that they must TAKE OVER THE WORLD!

ISLOMO-Fascists think they do not have to be RICH in order to take-over the Rich peoples Land, Wives, kids & Lives under ISLAMO-PHOBIA! Note: You can take someone out of the Desert, Mountain, Jungle or Islands, but you cannot take the Mountain, desert, Island or Jungle MENTALITY out of them.

Remember: ALL the PRE-APOCALPTIC Religion on Space-Ship Earth Today [Paganism, Buddha, Hindu, Jew, Christ, Zoroastrian, Islam, Scientology etc... Is NOT in your DNA nor your RNA nor in your MeMe or ME ME. [Your unique & very own ECLATi-an PHOTOFINITE ESSENCE that NEVER DIES or even knows death. Only LIVE in your Eternal LIFE IN LIGHT mist]. Ya Mon!

So their "Psychological" War (un FAIR) Game [deadly charades] ,is, as we have witnessed internationally, is in doing bad terroristic Acts al around the world, in weak [naive Honest like ] Peace Loving Society's.

So WE here in the West, which they want to get us to “Submit or Bow down “X” amount of days & give Money or your Life when needed by theocratic Mafioso G-d Player Figures, as if in “The GOd Father,”

And their un holy Agents of their martyred & ready death squads” , are not dealing with people who have “Fork tongues” WE are dealing with Satanic Lovers having two tongues of thought. “Submission & Jihad”!

And NOW they are audaciously Jihad-ding” us around with their forced non Islamic ( outdated Religious Doctrines, that need modern modification: And eventually their religion will see a big correction Correction of their own evil SIN making and this behavior is causing their faith, BY WAR, for good people, as far as America too (Not Just “Deutsch Land” a ), to become Muslim!?.

Their Pipe-Dreaming in Nostalgia [ Their young, love smoking HASHISH a/k/a ”Gonja” stuff whick is 5 times stronger, et al ] to “take back” their ancient conquests of Spain. Europe et al, similar to the Islam Turk Satanical Empire buildup in Europe, did back then after 600 A.D.), may "Know the fear of Islam" again [by The Islamic Brown Coats] via their "SECRET" Religious "MAFIA" International thugs.

So the SATANIC VERSE LOVING Religious Ventriloquist(s) of their horse blinders followers, are as usual, in shadow hiding themselves & living in their preoccupied Evil thoughts via their UNDER GROUNG ECONOMY(s), wherever they may be [North KOREA, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan Syria, and Turkey etc or those agitators behind the IRANIAN Nation itself et al, via transparency, and are blended into their own Citizens & Sub classes of their own or from other nations therein and thereof.

Their tactics and CONSPIRACY is alive and not so well anymore, and "WE Got Hip" to their strategy
and we are both now mentally & Militarily & Clandestinely ready & doing something about it.

Remember: If one moves in reaction swift enough then one will WIN. If not, then one loses the War Games.

I have GOOD NEWS! The Islam Religion in USA of America, will start seeing a decline in Islam participation. Some will assimilate & some will petter-out. And the main reason is, is parents in USA are prevented from using CORPORAL PUNISHMENT on their kids to Enforce their Islamic belief on to their kids.

Note: I see this trend in America with the "Jewish ORTHODOX" Community with their Teens & young Adults. Ya Ya. So If we do not let the Islamic People come to America, then they will just become closeted even more and most probably will have their day of the POOF-TIME Apocalypse of their own fanatic religious shedding into Future Bounded or thinking SECULAR MINDS. Like US.

We can rub ALADINS LAMP and that reality allows US to make ANY realistic Wish that will come TRUE! And WE also have the Almighty “TORCH” of Liberty for ALL HUMATES on Planet Momma/Poppa Earth. Ya.

So W.A.T.C.H. O.U.T. YOU:, “Sneaky Anti-Humanity Doctrine believing creatures, International & beyond.” Note: Fanatic Psycho Killers of Islamic SATAN worshipers or representatives or Un-Holy soldiers of the evil Hezbullah, Hamas, Aqsa Brigade, et al & their copy cat and imagined & psychotic none ALLAH teachings.

Hence they know not what they read. And NOT what they are doing to their own dieing & un Godly cause. History is our JURY. “Sectarian Violence & Arab/Persian Rivalry's” is written all over their populations GENETIC & historic make-up and via wrongful & to the contrary by deliberately acting out their psychoses or behaviors of some prophecy of a 5th kind, so to speak.

And, R.E.V.E.R.S.E. P.S.Y.C.H.O.L.O.G.Y. WINS instead! Even if WE have to use LOVE and BOMBS AWAY forces. And then the dust of their own Satan will die down in good TIME!
Ya Mon Ya! :=)/

WHERFORE: Enjoy The "Religious Peace Pipe while it lasts , YOU Rag-Brains & YOU too much smoking “Dope-Heads”, et al." Ummm Ummm Goouddaa Yamma Jamma!. Ya Ya , Hee Hee, WE SEE YOU Satan & Friends, Behold: You DO NOT & Can NEVER see US, ECLATi-ANs.

SHOLOM & AVI-DA-ZANE! : =)/

Tom Shire:

Dave J. wrote a very thoughtful comment on April 6 at 5:18 pm. I agree with almost everything he wrote except I have come to a different conclusion. Because both leaving and staying are fraught with danger, choosing one over the other is extremely difficult. Neither seems like the clear moral choice. But I lean toward withdrawal sooner rather than later because in the final analysis I believe it is better for Muslims to be killing Muslims than for Americans to be killing Muslims. And although I believe we have many expert and able diplomats, my sense is that we wore out our welcome in Iraq long ago. Let Iraqis sort out their difficulties, and lets get busy solving our own problems; beginning with our oil addiction. In the near term, we should adopt Tommy Thompson's approach and attempt to give all Iraqis a stake in oil production (a la Alaska's resident oil rebate program) while calling for a popular referendum (to which we could attach a condition or two of our own) on any continued American troop presence. My sense is we will be asked to leave and we should gratefully comply with that request. Finally, America's leaders should create a war reparations fund and apologize to all Iraqis for what we have done to their country. Maurie Beck, I enjoyed your comments and hope you find worthwhile some of my suggestions here. Also, Anonymous at 8:05 pm was quite eloquent. Well done, sir.

Vic van Meter:

I know I'll be lambasted for saying this, but the reason America has seen such harsh years is not the fight, but the occupation.

Remember another Bush President, one George HW Bush, who reacted to the invasion by Iraq of Kuwait by blitzing the Iraqi army. It shows exactly what a military is for...

Let's not fool ourselves. National defense forces of any kind are not for keeping peace, they're for making war. I'll likely be mocked for saying this as well, but America, even us dove-types, are a warrior people. That's a cultural study that I do not have time and space for here, but look at our political style! Not several parties, looking for a compromise, but two looking for dominance. Everything in America is based on competition, fighting, strength. We see everything in terms of conflict. And that's just philosophically and metaphorically. In America, I'm considered very non-violent, almost faultingly so, but I've at least doubled my nearest international friend (English) in the number of fist-fights I've engaged in in my lifetime. Doubled the nearest...and I have a lot of international friends. I'm not even really that pugilistic! On our TV, in the way our fathers teach us, it is everywhere. Stake out your place and fight for it.

Why bring the warrior people idea and the use of the military up in the same paragraph? Because somewhere, Americans and their warrior-like mindset runs into the more moderate mindset of the European countries we tend to deal with. Europeans are much less warlike in many aspects, even down to how they are taught growing up. European governments have great ideas about building up that have informed their countries. This is likely why their governments are so much more progressive; their mean is more or less raised on unilateralism and cooperating with your friends, not to deal with things singularly.