Miriam Leitao at PostGlobal

Miriam Leitao

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Miriam Leitao is a reporter and columnist for O Globo and Radio CBN in Brazil. She is also a commentator on Globo TV Network and runs her own blog, www.miriamleitao.com, hosted at Globo online at www.oglobo.com.br. She was awarded Columbia University’s Maria Moors Cabot Prize in 2005. Close.

Miriam Leitao

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Miriam Leitao is a reporter and columnist for O Globo and Radio CBN in Brazil. more »

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Dollar's Fall is Mixed Bag for Brazil

At least the dollar can fall. China’s refusal to let the yuan rise creates bigger problems for the world market.

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All Comments (2)

A.:

This does not explain why USA generates a trillion Dollars of fresh government debt every 15 months.

China has very little to do with the lack of fiscal discipline in USA. The Chinese GDP is not even 30% of U.S. GDP and net U.S. trade deficit, which is private sector debt, with China is about $200 billion a year. Brazilian exports to USA might be hurting (coffee, orange juice, timber, minerals) but iron ore prices (as Brazil is world's largest exporter) are up by more than 100% this year. Exports to non-U.S. markets from Brazil must be booming now!


Vic van Meter:

Not necessarily, A. American debt to China has a lot to do with the undervalue of China's currency. If China's currency were valued the same way the dollar was, it would be skyrocketing. China's exports would become more and more expensive. China's imports would become cheaper and cheaper. But because China's currency is so undervalued (and the countries in debt to China are certainly not going to go off with economic sanctions against their creditor) all other world currencies who trade with China are affected.

The U.S. has basically been at the same place with China for a long time, even though Chinese exports are kept artificially cheap compared to American exports. Trust me, if this was wholly America's fauly, Miriam would let us know.

I'm not saying our increasing federal debt isn't going to effect the U.S. economy. Actually, you'll see it a lot more if America keeps up the trend without paying off its debt. Once those interest rates and payments catch up with the American government, you'll REALLY see the dollar fall. Hopefully the next President in office won't be so naive as Bush.

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