The possibility of an Israeli attack against Iran is always “five,” no matter the circumstances. An existential fear about the fate of their nation seems to be embedded in the Israeli psyche. Our dear president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad knows this and drives Israelis’ meshuggah by continually talking about two things that Israelis feel most strongly about: the Jewish Holocaust and the existence of Israel. Of course it doesn't help that Iran is developing its nuclear technology "for peaceful purposes."
But what I'm most worried about is after Jan. 20, 2009. Barack Hussein Obama has no military credentials whatsoever. An African-American president with a name like that would most probably want to prove that Obama does not rhyme with Osama and the “H” part in his name has nothing to do with Saddam. So he will feel obligated to bomb something. Anything. And the most expedient thing to do is to bomb a rogue leader who is full of vitriol against the part of America Obama tries to appease.
Remember June 26, 1993? It was a few months after the inauguration of Bill Clinton. What did he do? Bombed the headquarters of the Iraqi Intelligence Service with 23 Tomahawk missiles. Why? It was a "firm and commensurate" response to Iraq's "plan" to assassinate former president George Bush. Clinton said he ordered the attack after receiving "compelling evidence" from U.S. intelligence officials that Bush had been the target of an assassination plot and that the plot was "directed and pursued by the Iraqi Intelligence Service."
Saddam was the rogue leader du jour then. Ahmadinejad is the one now. I'm not saying that anything would definitely happen. I'm just worried. And you should be too.
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