Mahmoud Sabit at PostGlobal

Mahmoud Sabit

Cairo, Egypt

Mahmoud Sabit is a historian and an authority on Egypt’s 19th century political reforms. Sabit also works as a writer and producer of historical documentaries. Close.

Mahmoud Sabit

Cairo, Egypt

Mahmoud Sabit is a historian and an authority on Egypt’s 19th century political reforms. more »

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UNIFIL: A Short to Medium Term Solution

Cairo, Egypt - To begin answering this question, it would be a good idea to review the terms of the ceasefire and the extended mandate for UNIFIL under United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, August 2006....

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J. Cameron:

"I would suggest that the Lebanese army will collaborate with Hezballah in arriving at an interpretation of these clauses"

This is obviously a nonsensical "solution" that would go absolutely nowhere in terms of ensuring that "armed personnel, assets, and weapons" are removed between the Litani River and the Blue Line.

You can clearly think too hard about this issue.

Mahmoud Sabit:

Wings
That is always a possibility, although unlikely. It all really depends on what Hezballah wants, because I believe they have a certain popularity at the moment, as such they have a window of opportunity to actually get what they want. But this wont last long. For example would they want to expand their role within the Lebanese government? Would they limit their social programs only to Shia'a Lebanese? or would they offer them to all Lebanese nationals? Despite everything they do have a good reputation in administering good governemnt, in the areas of their constituency and on very much a micro-economic level. Ultimately at the moment their social programs and refugee relief program are quite effective, everyone knows this, it is a powerful grass roots support tool, that is how they were able to obtain such unswerving support from the Shia'a community. Amalgamating their military wing to the Lebanese army is just one aspect, what happens if through popular consensus they become the Lebnanese Government? neither of these scenarios is to their benefit, they have however, made their political point, the consequences in the Arab world are still being determined. At the moment UNIFIL is already indirectly dealing with Hezballah through the Lebanese army, Hezballah controls the South, and they have done so for years. That was one of the points being made in the comment

wings:

What if Lebanese army assimilates a large part of Hizbollah's militia?

UNIFIL will have more of a problem then, as it comes to support Hizbollah disguised as Lebanese forces.

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