It's hard to predict much good news coming from Mexico in 2009. For two years now -- and for far longer, as we all know --Mexico has been at war.

Back in 2006, President Calderón began his administration facing what were, in fact, two Mexicos: one licit and one illicit. In much of the northern part of the country, the drug Cartels have built a parallel State, with its own tax system, informal welfare programs and "police" force.

The truth is, Mexico was well on its way towards becoming a failed nation. It might still be.

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