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We always knew that Turkey's European journey would be long and eventful. Many requirements need to be met on the way to full membership, concerning the functioning of democratic institutions and the adoption of legislation in a wide range of policy areas. Accession to the EU presupposes a very different Turkey from the one we know today; and this will not be easy.
In 1996, the former Turkish deputy undersecretary of the foreign ministry and ambassador to Washington, Sukru Elekdag, wrote that Turkey needed to plan for a "two-and-a-half" military campaign scenario in which Turkey could conduct two full-scale operations simultaneously against Greece and Syria while preparing for an internal 'half war' instigated by the militants of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK).
Greece has emerged as one of the strongest advocates for Turkey's accession to the European Union and has exerted some moderate pressure on the Republic of Cyprus to show flexibility vis-a-vis Turkish intransigence. However, Greece has declined from openly antagonizing Nicosia and has failed to come up with an alternative strategy towards Turkey in case negotiations with the EU stumble.
Rightly or wrongly, Turks currently feel aggrieved at their treatment by the the EU. In view of two impending critical elections in 2007, one for the presidency and one for parliament, it is unrealistic to expect a great deal from Ankara's leaders. Therefore, Greece has to bear a higher share of the burden in improving relations. With its special relationship with Cyprus, Athens is uniquely placed to help heal relations and act as an intermediary between Turkey and the EU. Greece must not be seen by Turks as spearheading the opposition to Ankara.
Blogger Stavros (www.greekodyssey.typepad.com) - Why are we deluding ourselves? Perhaps some in Turkey may desire EU membership and all the accompanying accoutrements that it will bring. Unfortunately, the Turkish government and more importantly, the Turkish military, are not willing to alter policies that might change the current paradigm.
Issues such as the status of Cyprus and Turkey's accession to the EU hinge upon Greece-Turkey relations. What policy on either side do you think would be most productive or most damaging towards peaceful and cooperative relations?
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