Somalia/United Arab Emirates - A divided Iraq will create satellite states owing their existence to powerful neighboring rivals. Oil will fuel a struggle for survival.
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The U.S. should help Iraqis to relocate to safer neighborhoods or towns. It's the least we can do in this mess we had so much to do with creating. El Presidente is sleepwalking as a genocidal civil war has begun. The intense Kurdish desire for independence seems to be looming over the future as well.
October 16, 2006 10:42 PM | Report Offensive Comments
Posted on October 16, 2006 22:42
Splitting Iraq into three regions Shiite, Sunni and Kurdisg regions At This Juncture May The Only Solution
Few days ago, the president of the autonomous region of Kurdistan, Mr Masoud Barzani told the visiting United
States Secretary of state Condoleesa Rice, that Kurdistan has the right for self-determination-meaning , they have the right to be a separate country by themselves
Modern Iraq is composed of the three Ottoman states of Mosul, Baghdad and Basra. For all practical purposes, these states have never coalesced very well as a real nation state. Through most of Iraq's modern history, beginning from 1932-the period of Iraq's nominal independence from Britain, these three states were kept together by force.
For all practical purposes the splitting of Iraq into three Kurdish, Sunni and Shiite states is naturally happening. Iraq today is not a functioning state. The Kurdish region in Northern Iraq was an autonomous region since 1991. This region is already functioning as a de facto independent state. They have all the institutions of a state in place, they even have a flag. The Kurdish region is waiting for the right time to declare its independence and their is no one who have the power to stop it. Even the state of Turkey who are vehemently opposed to an independent Kurdistan, can not win in an open war with Kurdistan. A Turkish invasion may lead into a complete rebellion of the Turkish Kurds.
The latter were already fighting Turkey for many years, in order to press Turkey to grant them an autonomous Kurdish state in Eastern Turkey. I myself agree with the idea of letting the Kurdish people to have their own state. It is quite mind boggling for about 40 million people scattered along across four international borders not to have a state. This is a classical case of the many injustices perpetrated by western colonial powers in the last century. The Iraqi Shiites are these days campaigning very hard, to carve their own autonomous Shiite region/state in southern Iraq. The major losers in the Iraqi split which is already taking place are the Sunnis Arabs, the rulers of Iraq, since its inception as a independent state in 1932 and beyond. The Sunni area at the center of Iraq is not an oil rich area.
The Iraq divorce will be messy and violent. There are bitterly disputed areas in the country, such as the oil rich city of Kirkuk. It is quite likely that the Sunnis may get the support of the Shiites in Kirkuk, if a major conflict over the city breaks out between the Kurds and the Sunnis. There is a significant Arab and Turkmen presence in Kirkuk, but the Kurdish are hell-bent on getting all of Kirkuk for themselves. The Kurds claim Kirkuk as theirs. According to the Kurds, Saddam Hussein has brought a huge number of Arab immigrants to Kirkuk, while at same time expelling Kurds. This claim has not been verified. For the Sunnis, wrestling Kirkuk from the Kurds will be a matter of life and death, and they will vigorously fight to realize that dream.
The Kurdish on their part has more than 100 thousand regular militia forces (the Peshmerga). Their forces are battle-hardened, disciplined and well-equipped. Foreign players such as Turkey, Iran, the Sunni Arab world will likely jump into to the fray in the coming inevitable messy divorce in Iraq.
Brief Background Information and Short History of Iraq
Iraq the great fertile land between the mighty, Koranic and biblical rivers of Tigress and Euphrates was the scene of numerous civilizations. This is the land of the great Sumerians, the Assyrians, and Babylonian civilizations. The land Hassan and Hussein died. The seat of the first Islamic Caliphate, the land of great poets like Imra-Al-Qays, Haruon Rashid and others, the center of the Kadiria sector of Sunni Islam and the burial site of its leader the refereed Abdul-kadir Al-Jiilani. Before world war one, or the first European war of the twentieth century, the three Iraqi provinces of Mosul, Bagdad and Basra were ruled by the Ottoman Turks. Following the end of world war one, the league of nations have mandated France to rule the Great Syria (ancient Bilad Al-Sham, comprising at the time of transjordan which was composed of Palestine,Lebanon and modern Syria). The British were mandated by the league of nations to rule the then Mesopotamia-modern iraq.
Among the string of many civilizations that sprang up in this great land between the two biblical rivers of Tigris and Euphrates, the following three major ones stood out: Assyrian, Babylonian and Sumerian.The Assyrians are well-known in their magnificent and ebullient architecture. They were the original architects of the most important buildings of Mesopotamia. The eloquence and ornateness of their architecture epitomizes the wealth and the achievements of the Assyrian empire in the 1st millennium B.C.
Babylon with its great king Hammurabi was well-known with the code of law.They were also well-known for their knowledge of astronomy.They were also so good in agricultural engineering, things such as building canals and so forth.
The sumerians were the first people to devise some form of a writing script. They also invented of a way of recording literature. The Sumerians were the first people to build city states, and nvented the first wheeled chariot for warfare.
Conclusion
So many conquerors have went through this great land of wonders, mystery, innovation and ancient civilization. The so-called Alxander the great of Mecedonia, the Mongols, the Othoman Turks, the British and the present Angol-American rulers currently occuping Iraq.
What was behind the huge interest of all those conquerers on Iraq is a 64 million question? I may not know the whole answer for this difficult question, but I will try my best to put the centripetal forces that have attracted so many invaders to Iraq.
Iraq was attractive to many past and present conquerors due to the following:
(1). its strategic location in the world at the center of ancient trade routes.
(2). Iraq has so much ancient history and architecture.
(3). It is the cradle of civilization.
(4). Numerous Islamic and Christain holy sites are locatd in Iraq.
(5). Modern Iraq has a huge oil wealth.
(6). It has a tremenedous agricultural potential.
(7). Iraq has huge water wealth.
Soleiman Egeh
October 9, 2006 11:24 AM | Report Offensive Comments
Posted on October 9, 2006 11:24
There's a saying which is gaining currency within the Muslim world:
If you want to run a hospital, get a doctor, if you want to run a bank, get a banker, if you want to run a democracy, get a crook.
October 8, 2006 11:40 AM | Report Offensive Comments
Posted on October 8, 2006 11:40
Interesting how the last post sums up the Muslim world and Middle East- he actually rejects Salahudeen, a unifier, upright, pious Muslim and the best Kurd there ever was; for corrupt politicans of today.
"We don't want what united us, civilized us, elevated us, humbled us. We [insert any nationalist, ethnic, tribal identity] only want riches and power for ourselves and to hell with everyone else!"
That mentality is why the Muslim world is full of crap today. And foreign powers eat up all the wealth and resources like predators on a carcass. Even tiny foreign powers of little consequence like Denmark can dominate Muslim countries like Egypt or Syria, make long term trade contracts, and then turn around and insult the Prophet Muhammad.
Mr Goth is right that dividing Iraq is not the answer.
But Mr Goth is ignores the fact that the responsibility of Iraq is on the people of Iraq AND the people of the region- NOT America. America is there ONLY for its own interests to install a region which caters to American interests. It is the Machiavellian way (chapter 5 "The Prince").
America has exacerbated divisions in Iraq for decades by supporting the Kurds and Shia against the Sunnis. DECADES. America IS the problem in Iraq. It has no altruistic or humanitarian OBLIGATION to be in Iraq.
If anything, it would be better for a neighboring nation to envelope Iraq, like Iran, Turkey, Syria, than keep America there. In the end, Iraq belongs to the people of the region, NOT to America. The Crate and Barrel metaphor is WRONG.
America, please save yourselves and go home. Let the people settle their own affairs, right or wrong, good or bad. That is the best thing for everyone. Declare victory and s