THE QUESTION

Seymour Hersh reports a $400 million U.S. covert action program against Iran. On a scale of 1 to 10, what's the likelihood of an American or Israeli military attack on Iran before Jan. 20 (Inauguration Day), and why? For extra points, name the date.

Posted by David Ignatius on June 30, 2008 6:07 PM

FROM THE PANEL

Originally from Pakistan, Anwer Sher is based in Dubai and writes for Gulf News, Khaleej Times and Emirates Today. His varied career experience includes banking, consulting, and real estate development. He has a Masters degree in International Relations.

U.S. or Israeli Strike Likely

The Bush Administration would like to have the proverbial shot at Iran – but they would be best not to repeat the mistakes they’ve made in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Anwer Sher Dubai, UAE | 23 COMMENTS
Jul 7, 2008 at 3:52 PM
Lamis Andoni is a Middle East consultant for Al Jazeera, the Qatar-based news station. She has been covering the Middle East for 20 years. She has reported for the Christian Science Monitor, the Financial Times and the main newspapers in Jordan. She was a professor at the Graduate School in UC Berkeley.

Bush’s Farewell Includes Attack on Iran

Lamis Andoni Doha, Qatar | 22 COMMENTS
Yossi Melman is a senior commentator for the Israeli daily Haaretz. He specializes in intelligence, security, terrorism and strategic issues. An author of seven books on these topics, his most recent book, The Nuclear Sphinx of Tehran: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the State of Iran was published recently by Carroll & Graf.

Israel Won't Move Without U.S. Approval

Yossi Melman Tel Aviv, Israel | 28 COMMENTS
Dr. Ali Ettefagh serves as a director of Highmore Global Corporation, an investment company in emerging markets of Eastern Europe, CIS, and the Middle East. He is the co-author of several books on trade conflict, resolution of international trade disputes, conflicts in letters of credit, trade-related banking transactions, sovereign debt, arbitration and dispute resolutions and publications specific to the oil and gas, communication, aviation and finance sectors. Dr. Ettefagh is a member of the executive committee and the board of directors of The Development Foundation, an advisor to the United Nations High Commission for Refugees, and an advisor to a number of European companies. Dr. Ettefagh speaks Persian (Farsi), English, German, French, Spanish, Italian, Arabic and Turkish.

Memo to Uncle Sam: Iran Is Not Your Enemy

Ali Ettefagh Tehran, Iran | 116 COMMENTS
Leon Krauze   |   Miklos Vamos   |   Daoud Kuttab
ALL PANELIST RESPONSES

READER RESPONSE

» Anju Chandel | 100% if the White House incumbent from 20th Jan 2009 decides to appoint George W(ar) Bush as his foreign policy advisor! Otherwise, least likely. Not...
» Serr Grandi | I think we have a 50% chance of an American attack against Iran. Whether that attack will be a joint operation by US and Israel is not very important....
» Neil Kuchinsky | Israel has no choice but to attack Iran. Few believed Hitler when he pledged that he would annihilate the Jews. With Iranian leaders pledging t...
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