THE QUESTION

25 years from now, will historians write that Tony Blair was one of Britain's greatest modernizers or a promising leader who got stuck in a disastrous war?

Posted by Fareed Zakaria on May 14, 2007 9:35 AM

FROM THE PANEL

David Goodhart is founder and editor of Prospect magazine, the London-based current affairs monthly. Before starting Prospect in 1995 he worked for 12 years for the Financial Times, including a spell as correspondent in Germany. He is the author of several books and pamphlets, the latest for the think tank Demos is titled Progressive nationalism: citizenship and the left.

The Anglo-Social Third Way

Perhaps not a great modernizer, but a good one who took advantage of a wide consensus in 1997 that Britain needed -- and could now afford -- to readjust the Thatcher reforms in a social democratic direction. Even the Conservative opposition has now accepted his reforms, which deserve the title of a "model" -- the Anglo-Social model.

London, England | 1 COMMENTS
May 17, 2007 at 10:33 AM
Bashir Goth is a veteran journalist, freelance writer, the first Somali blogger and editor of a leading news website. He is also a regular contributor to major Middle Eastern and African newspapers and online journals.

In on a Stallion, Out with Tail between Legs

Tony Blair cam into power like a hero, young and zealous to change the Labour Party and the world. He clicked with his equally savvy counterpart in the White House, Bill Clinton, But despite his robust reforms in the UK, his association with Clinton's successor turned him into a servile beast, devastatingly humiliated.

Bashir Goth Somalia/UAE | 46 COMMENTS
May 15, 2007 at 12:23 PM
Former Washington-based columnist for The Hong Kong Standard, The New York Sun, and Insight on the News, an online weekly published by The Washington Times. Covered economic and political relations between the United States and East Asia, with an emphasis on China, Taiwan and Hong Kong. Former chairman of the Hong Kong Journalists' Association. Currently a business executive at a Chinese-language newspaper in Hong Kong.

Blair's Freedom Agenda -- Not China

As a former subject of Queen Elizabeth II, I view the UK through the prism of Hong Kong. Blair visited Hong Kong after it was returned from British to Chinese control, advocating stability and managed progress. While he preached freedom, democracy and human rights elsewhere, this somehow did not extend to China.

Kin-ming Liu Hong Kong | 9 COMMENTS
May 14, 2007 at 6:47 PM
Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff is a Senior Director at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, a transatlantic public policy and grant-making foundation. He overseas the fund's policy programs. He was previously the Washington bureau chief of the German newsweekly, Die Zeit.

Mixed Up in the Wrong Crowd

The West is about to lose the only formidable leader in the cohort of the past age. Tony Blair’s tragedy is that he has been surrounded by Jacques Chirac, Gerhard Schröder and George Bush -- the most disappointing team of Western leaders since World War II.

Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff Germany | 29 COMMENTS
May 14, 2007 at 3:06 PM
Sami Moubayed is a Syrian political analyst and historian based in Damascus, Syria. Moubayed is the author of "Damascus Between Democracy and Dictatorship (2000)" and "Steel & Silk: Men and Women Who Shaped Syria 1900-2000 (2006)." He has also authored a biography of Syria's former President Shukri al-Quwatli and currently serves as Associate Professor at the Faculty of International Relations at al-Kalamoun University in Syria. In 2004, he created Syrianhistory.com, the first and online museum of Syrian history. He is also co-founder and editor-in-chief of FORWARD, the leading English monthly in Syria, and Vice-President of Haykal Media.

21st C. Churchill in Another Man's War

Tony Blair's legacy has many parallels to Britain's revered leader of World War II, Winston Churchill. But while Churchill sent British troops into battle to defend their homeland against Nazi invaders, Blair has sent his soldiers to die for a cause not their own. It is that of the friend who may bring his legacy down: George W. Bush.

Sami Moubayed Damascus, Syria | 54 COMMENTS
May 14, 2007 at 9:25 AM
Christine Ockrent is regarded as one of France's most respected broadcasters, the only journalist granted an interview with Saddam Hussein in the middle of the Gulf War. As well as becoming the first woman to anchor and edit the prime time news, Christine has also edited the current affairs journal L'Express, worked as the deputy director-general of France's TF1 channel and presented the country's flagship magazine and program on French and European politics, France-Europe Express. She also anchors a monthly program on international affairs on TV5Monde.

Master of New Labour, Puppet in Iraq

It will not take 25 years before Tony Blair is recognized as the most imaginative and effective European political leader of his time. He has modernized the British Labour Party, forging a third way to reform our complex societies torn between welfare state and the requirements of globalization. But he also fell into a classic British trap.

Christine Ockrent Paris, France | 16 COMMENTS
May 14, 2007 at 9:13 AM
Dr. Ali Ettefagh serves as a director of Highmore Global Corporation, an investment company in emerging markets of Eastern Europe, CIS, and the Middle East. He is the co-author of several books on trade conflict, resolution of international trade disputes, conflicts in letters of credit, trade-related banking transactions, sovereign debt, arbitration and dispute resolutions and publications specific to the oil and gas, communication, aviation and finance sectors. Dr. Ettefagh is a member of the executive committee and the board of directors of The Development Foundation, an advisor to the United Nations High Commission for Refugees, and an advisor to a number of European companies. Dr. Ettefagh speaks Persian (Farsi), English, German, French, Spanish, Italian, Arabic and Turkish.

Style over Substance, Unfinished Plans

Tony Blair has managed to present himself as a flexible politician while choosing politics over policy. He promised to be a grand modernizer and many of his achievements are noteworthy. But the past 10 years have seen more media spin than effective reform; Britain has moved away from Europe and lost economic competitiveness.

Ali Ettefagh Tehran, Iran | 12 COMMENTS
May 14, 2007 at 8:35 AM
Yossi Melman is a senior commentator for the Israeli daily Haaretz. He specializes in intelligence, security, terrorism and strategic issues. An author of seven books on these topics, his most recent book, The Nuclear Sphinx of Tehran: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the State of Iran was published recently by Carroll & Graf.

Passionate Believer in Humanity

I envy the Brits for having Tony Blair as their leader. Who could have believed that one day Protestant Rev. Ian Paisley and Catholic former terrorist Martin McGuinness would share a government after decades of bloodshed in Northern Ireland? Blair, one of the most impressive leaders of the 21st century, made it happen.

Yossi Melman Tel Aviv, Israel | 6 COMMENTS
May 14, 2007 at 8:01 AM
Miklós Vámos is a Hungarian novelist, screenwriter and talk show host. He is one of the most read and respected writers in his native Hungary. He has taught at Yale University on a Fulbright fellowship, served as The Nation’s East European correspondent, worked as consultant on the Oscar-winning film Mephisto, and presented Hungary’s most-watched cultural television show. Vámos has received numerous awards for his plays, screenplays, novels and short stories, including the Hungarian Merit Award for lifetime achievement. The Book of Fathers is considered his most accomplished novel and has sold 200,000 copies in Hungary.

No Great Leaders, Only Great Times

I happen to think that there are no great leaders, only great times. And in great times, politicians and statesmen can lead effectively enough to earn the appreciation of posterity. Some luck is required to find oneself in power during great times, and some luck is needed to avoid making great mistakes.

Miklos Vamos Budapest, Hungary | 9 COMMENTS
May 14, 2007 at 7:19 AM

READER RESPONSE

» RBC | Tony Blair will be remembered for his disingeneous role to the British people in allowing Britain to become involved in a US led invasion of Iraq. His...
» Mar Patalinjug | Tony Blair will get credit for his many solid achievements in the domestic arena during his 10-year tenure as British Prime Minister. Tragically for h...
» People in the Sun | I was living in London when Blair became Prime Minister. I remember the May Day celebrations that year. Finally, we all thought, finally we have one o...
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